Here are some of my thoughts on the consensus top 8 programs.
USC: After winning 8 out of 14 NCAA tournaments until 2018, Pinta has yet to win an NCAA tournament as the head coach. I believe that if he fails to win this year, questions need to be asked. Pinta has both the No.1 transfer portal pickup (Mihailo Vukazic) and No.1 incoming freshman (Strahinja Krstic), and also has Gavin Conant and Efe Naipoglu coming in as part of the freshman class. Combine that with the likes of Lopez-Duart, Herzer, Grgurevic, Brankovic, Bettino, Jack Martin, and one can argue that USC is the favorite over UCLA this upcoming year.
UCLA: While the incomers are not at the level of USC’s, UCLA has the best returners in the NCAA, highlighted by the Dodds, Carsalade, Marcell Szécsi, and the Leichtys. UCLA will be the preseason No.1, and looking at just talent, USC and UCLA are in their own tier to start the season.
Cal: Despite the loss of Casabella and other strong players from the Class of 2025, Cal answered their biggest question mark at the goalie position and has a strong incoming class while returning Ponferrada and co. I don’t expect Cal to compete for a national championship come December, but they will be more competitive than they were in 2025.
Stanford: I expect this to be a retooling year for Stanford. The incoming class is pretty average for Big Four standards. With talks of James Rozolis Hill sitting out and likely transferring to Stanford for 2026, alongside a few strong Class of 2030 commitments, I expect Stanford to use this as a development year before seriously competing for the title in 2026.
Fordham: Like its East Coast counterpart, Fordham lost a lot of talent but returns their freshman duo of Toth and Provenziani. Fordham and Stanford recently had a scrimmage at Stanford, with Stanford winning. Fordham will be asking a lot from its incoming players. If they deliver, expect Fordham to be in the top five for a majority of the season, and don’t be surprised if they beat Stanford in Santa Clara in late October.
Princeton: Coach Dusty Litvak always gets the most out of his group, and I expect that to be the case again this year. Similarly to Fordham, Princeton lost a talented group that included Roko Pozaric and Vladan Mitrovic. However, they return Kovacs in goal and two players who competed in the U20 worlds (Gavin Appledorn and Adam Peocz), and have Otto Stothart, who was the best center in high school water polo last year.
LBSU: Going into the offseason, the question was whether Gabi Acosta and Corbin Stanley would stay at LBSU for their sophomore seasons after stellar freshman seasons. Not only did Arroyo keep both, but he brought in Corbin’s brother and Whitestone (goalie), both from CBU. LBSU has the potential to be a final-four team this year.
UCI: I know some people are very high on UCI this year. They return key contributors Cole Francisco, Luke Krstic, and Johann Thrall. They have a decent incoming class, and if they can get them to contribute early, UCI will be able to compete with LBSU for the Big West title next year.
I didn’t mention Pepperdine and UCSD, but I expect them to round out the top 10.